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Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Home Depot Third-Quarter Protit Falls

Home Depot reports 8.9% profit drop in Q3, beats expectations


Home Depot Inc.'s third-quarter earnings fell 8.9 percent as the housing and renovation markets remained weak, the nation's largest home improvement retailer said Tuesday.

The company also raised its full-year earnings outlook as the quarter's earnings topped expectations. CEO Frank Blake said the company has seen signs of stabilization in real estate and has added market share in the quarter.

Home Depot and other home-improvement retailers have faced sales declines as consumers hold back on do-it-yourself projects amid worry over jobs and home values. Although the U.S. housing market is stabilizing, after a nearly three-year decline, home prices remain far below their peak.

On Monday, Home Depot's smaller rival Lowe's Cos. reported third-quarter profit fell 30 percent as sales declined 3 percent. Lowe's also observed that some of the hardest-hit home markets are stabilizing and said it expects this year's fourth quarter to be stronger than last year's.

Home Depot said declines in the average checkout receipt eased a bit in the quarter, falling 7.1 percent to $51.89, compared with 8.2 percent for the year to date. Falling purchases of big-ticket items like major appliances have been a particular worry for Home Depot and Lowe's.

Net income was $689 million, or 41 cents per share, for the quarter ended Nov. 1. Revenue fell 8 percent to $16.36 billion.

Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected a profit of 36 cents per share on revenue of $16.27 billion.

Sales at stores open at least a year fell 6.9 percent. That figure is considered a key measurement for retailers because it excludes the effect of store expansions or closings.

For the full year, Home Depot now expects earnings per share from continuing operations of about $1.50. That would be a 9.5 percent increase from last year, better than the company's previous expected range of flat to up 7 percent.

Home Depot now expects adjusted earnings of $1.55 per share for the full year. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect $1.52.


Sunday, November 15, 2009

EBay--The Retailer

Massucci's Take: EBay's plan to be more retailer than auctioneer is one risky bid

EBay (EBAY) is a Web pioneer, having built a multibillion dollar business out of allowing people to essentially put garage sales on the Internet. That simple idea led to fast growth more than a decade ago and helped define what was possible online for other companies that followed. The company's IPO in 1998 turned founder Pierre Omidyar and eBay President Jeffrey Skoll into instant billionaires.

Fast-forward to 2009, and the 1990s Internet darling is steering through turbulence. EBay seems to want to be more an online retailer and less an online auction site. If it makes such a move, it will have to fight online retailers such as Amazon.com (AMZN) and Zappos and their impeccable customer service. It will also have to take on formidable brick-and-mortar retailers like WalMart (WMT) and Target (TGT), which are focusing more on online sales. Why does eBay want to join a battle it's not likely to win?EBay CEO John Donahoe said the company is moving in the right direction. "While we still have a lot more work to do to improve trust, value, and selection, we are making progress," he said, during the company's third-quarter conference call last month.

He added that eBay is emphasizing its trusted sellers, who offer fast shipping and guaranteed returns. "For the first time, buyers who come to eBay looking for fast, trusted service, can easily spot top-rated sellers by the prominent badge in search results," he said.

Customers are noticing, Donahoe said. Buyers and sellers are also seeing more sellers peddling fixed-price items, rather than items for auction, which is how eBay built its brand.

Easy Returns

I'd argue that while its important to establish more trust on eBay, which the company seems to be doing, deemphasizing auctions is a mistake. Why would you or I buy a new pair of boots on eBay for the same price as we'd buy them at Zappos, which offers returns for a full-year after the product purchase?

Granted, most people don't need to bother with returns. But if you're retuning an item to Zappos, there are instructions on how to do so on its website and a toll-free number to call if you have any questions. Walmart.com allows customers to return their items by mail or to a store.

While most items are never returned, the perception of trust and safety is underlined by the return policies. With eBay, even from a trusted seller, the perception of trust by a buyer isn't as strong.

"What Donahoe has tried to do is make it more Amazon-ish, with a greater array of fixed-price offerings," says Fred Moran, analyst at Benchmark Co. "It might be that making it more like Amazon-like is the thing that saves them and helps them restore growth."

Moran says eBay faces an uphill battle against rivals like Amazon.com. "EBay's mousetrap is not as strong. How they compete with Amazon is the right question to ask. I don't know if Donahoe has the answer." Moran has a hold rating and a $29 price target on eBay shares, which is just a 22% increase over Friday's closing price of $23.74.

Search Snafus


Investor Sandi Lynne says that while eBay's Internet payment service PayPal is adding revenue and the company is selling off its Web-calling service Skype, eBay needs to focus on improving the search function on its site. "If I'm searching for something specific, it gives you too much stuff in addition to what you asked for," says Lynne.

When she searched for a Mercedes X600 on eBay Motors, she got the Mercedes emblem, the wheel rims, the original owners manual, yet she wanted only a list of the available cars. "That's why eBay is doing worse than ever before," she said. "The more you try to refine the search, the more likely you are to have it tell you your search yielded no results. Amazon's search is the opposite."

The more eBay morphs into an online retailer and gets away from its roots as an online auction site, the more likely it's fighting a battle it's going to lose. While it's important to establish trust among sellers and buyers on eBay, trying to compete with Amazon or Walmart and their online guarantees is a waste of time. Even if eBay can match the services offered by other retailers, why would a buyer choose to shop there?

EBay's strengths are in the variety of old, hard-to-find collectible and discounts on new items. That's why people shop at eBay, and if the company moves too far away from that core identity, it may never rediscover its mojo.

Retail Sales Performance

The week in preview: More retail earnings: Gap, Home Depot, Sears, Target ...


On the heels of last week's better-than-expected earnings results from retailers Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF), Kohl's Corp. (KSS), Macy's Inc. (M), Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) -- as well as disappointing numbers from Blockbuster Inc. (BBI) and JCPenney Co. Inc. (JCP) -- the coming week will bring results from more shopping- and strip-mall favorites.

TJX Companies Inc. (TJX), which operates T.J. Maxx and Marshalls stores in the U.S., settled a class action, announced share buybacks and raised its guidance in the third quarter. For the three months that ended in October, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect TJX to report earnings of $0.80 per share, up from $0.57 in the same period of last year. Revenue is expected to total $5.3 billion, or 10.2% higher than a year ago. So far, the full-year forecast is for a profit of $2.59 per share (+22.3%) on $20.0 billion (+5.5%) in sales.

This dividend payer's earnings have met or beat consensus estimates in the past five quarters. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 13.0%, which is better than the sector average, and its earnings multiple is 14x. TJX had more cash on hand than long-term debt at last report, and its net cash flow from operations has grown in recent quarters. The First Call consensus recommendation has been to buy TJX for more than 90 days, and the mean price target is $44.07. Analysts see TJX doing well in the upcoming holiday season. Shares have pulled back from a recent multi-year high of $40.64 and closed Friday at $38.98, which is 10.2% higher than three months ago.

In its third quarter, San Francisco-based purveyor of khaki, The Gap Inc. (GPS), celebrated its 40th anniversary, saw the death of co-founder Don Fisher, and declared a quarterly dividend. Analysts are looking for Gap to report that its profit grew 20.5% from a year ago to $0.44 per share. But sales for the period that ended in October are expected to come to $3.6 billion, about the same as a year ago. The forecast is for modest year-over-year growth in the fourth quarter in both EPS and revenue. Gap has topped earnings expectations by a penny per share in the past five quarters, and the long-term EPS growth forecast is 11.5%, which is better than that of competitor Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Gap's earnings multiple is 14x, and the consensus recommendation remains to buy GPS. One analyst recently downgraded GPS though, citing potential risk. The mean price target is $25.43. Shares closed at $22.42 Friday; they have traded between $21 and $23 since early September.

Analysts are looking for more modest growth from Target Corp. (TGT). For the third quarter in which the Minneapolis-based retailer opened 26 new stores, entered a price war with Walmart and Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), and declared a quarterly dividend, the consensus forecast is for earnings of $0.50 per share on revenue of $15.3 billion. That compares with $0.49 per share on $15.1 billion in the year-ago period. Analysts so far expect to see stronger year-over-year growth in both EPS and revenue in the fourth quarter. Target has only missed the Street view on earnings in one of the past five quarters, and then only by a penny per share. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 13.7%, which is better than that of Walmart and Sears (see below). Target's earnings multiple is 14x, and its net cash flow from operations has grown in recent quarters. Analysts, on average, recommend buying TGT, with a mean price target is $56.88. Investopedia expects Target's results to be in line with expectations. Shares have retreated from the 52-week high of $51.77 back in October and closed Friday at $48.99.

Other retailers expected to report earnings growth this week include Ann Taylor Stores Corp. (ANN), Buckle Inc. (BKE), Children's Place Retail Stores Inc. (PLCE), Gymboree Corp. (GYMB), Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) and Shoe Carnival Inc. (SCVL), while Kirkland's Inc. (KIRK) is forecast to have swung to a profit.

For Home Depot Inc. (HD), the world's largest home improvement chain, expectations are lower. The Atlanta-based big-box retailer launched its Martha Steward brand and power drill exchange, as well as declared a quarterly dividend, in the third quarter. Earnings are expected to have fallen 20.0% from a year ago to $0.36 per share. And sales for the three months that ended in October are expected to be 8.4% lower to $16.3 billion. The full-year forecast is for net income of $1.52 per share (-14.6%) on $65.3 billion (-8.4%) in sales. But Home Depot has topped earnings estimates in the past five quarters, by as much as 10 cents per share. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 10.1% and its earnings multiple is 17x, both of which are about the same as those of rival Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW). But analysts, on average, still recommend buying HD, and the mean price target is $29.89. The Motley Fool called HD as a stock ready to run. At $27.34, shares are a down a bit from three months ago, and they have faced resistance around $28.00 since early August.

Other retailers expected to report lower earnings this week include BJ's Wholesale Club Inc. (BJ), Foot Locker Inc. (FL), Hot Topic Inc. (HOTT) and Zumiez Inc. (ZUMZ).

Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) is expected to be this week's hard luck story, with analysts anticipating a deeper loss. In its third quarter, Sears opened in-store toy stores, launched Christmas Club cards, and offered early Black Friday deals ahead of the holiday season, as well as saw a new member on its board. The Hoffman Estates, Ill.-based retailer is expected to report a net loss of $1.09 per share on revenue of $9.9 billion. That compares with a loss of $0.90 per share on $10.7 billion in sales in the same period of last year. For the fourth quarter, analysts expect lower year-over-year earnings and sales. But results have been better than expected in two of the past three quarters, and the long-term EPS growth forecast is 10.0%, which is better than that of JCPenney. Zacks downgraded SHLD due to stiff competition that could undermine its growth prospects. Shares are 4.9% lower than three months ago, when they were trading near the 52-week high of $79.35.

Bon Ton Stores Inc. (BONT), Casual Male Retail Group Inc. (CMRG), Limited Brands Inc. (LTD) and Saks Inc. (SKS) are also expected to report net losses this week.

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Retail Sales Modest Rise

Retail sales gain hints Canada edging to recovery

OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canadian retail sales posted better than expected gains in August, data showed on Thursday, adding to recent evidence that the economy is crawling toward recovery.

Higher sales at gasoline stations and new car dealers drove sales up by 0.8 percent in August, more than retracing the unexpected drop of 0.5 percent in July, Statistics Canada said.

Excluding these retailers, sales were flat.

The increase was greater than the 0.4 percent rise predicted by market analysts. In volume terms, retail sales grew by 0.4 percent from July.

"In a bigger picture sense, this report just confirms that the domestic economy is OK. Not too hot, not too cold, just OK," said Scotia Capital economists Derek Holt and Karen Cordes in a note.

The Canadian dollar extended the session's decline against a broadly stronger U.S. dollar after the retail data, as appetite waned for higher-risk currencies ahead of the Bank of Canada's Monetary Policy Report while global stocks fell.

Analysts said the job gains in recent months have influenced consumers to spend again, even if the goods purchased were narrowly based in the automotive group.

Sales at gasoline stations rose by 3.9 percent from July while sales at new car dealers were up by 2.2 percent after two relatively flat months. A major contributor to the gain was a rise in truck sales.

"Not that sales in these areas cannibalized the other categories necessarily, but there seemed to be little interest beyond the auto sector," said Stewart Hall, an economist at HSBC Canada.

Sales declined at general merchandise stores (-0.4 percent) and miscellaneous retailers (-0.2 percent), but building and outdoor home supplies store sector was up by 0.5 percent.

Still, some were encouraged by other details, including more sales in furniture and home furnishings, and clothing, but it may not be enough to lift economic growth in August.

"Overall, this was a positive report, and it suggests that Canadian consumer spending may have regained its mojo in August, following the disappointing decline in July," said Millan Mulraine, economics strategist at TD Securities.

"However, notwithstanding the favorable support from consumer spending, the Canadian economy is expected to post its second consecutive month without GDP growth in August."

Excluding the automotive sector, which includes sales by new and used car dealers and parts stores, retail sales in August advanced by 0.5 percent, less than the 0.6 percent rise predicted by analysts.

(Reporting by David Ljunggren and Ka Yan Ng)

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Interest rate remains low till next year

As expected, the Bank of Canada recommitted yesterday to leaving its benchmark interest rate at a record low of 0.25% through to the middle of next year.

The central bank is taking a brighter view of the economy, citing stronger-than-expected household spending. Policymakers said that Canada’s GDP would shrink 2.3% this year, compared with an earlier estimate in April that the economy would contract 3%. GDP will expand 3%, compared with an earlier call for growth of 2.5% next year, the BoC said in its latest policy statement.

The revisions reflect what the central bank said are “increasing signs that economic activity has begun to expand in many countries in response to monetary and fiscal policy stimulus and measures to stabilize the global financial system.” Still, the BoC called the recovery “nascent” and emphasized that “effective and resolute policy implementation remains critical to sustained global growth.”

Canadian retail sales rose much more than expected in May after a surprise drop the previous month, Statistics Canada said today. Sales increased 1.2% during the month to $34 billion, with gains in seven of eight sectors, led by a 2.4% increase in automotive products, the federal agency said.

“Retail sales have been generally rising since the beginning of 2009,” Statistics Canada said. Most economists had expected sales to rise by just 0.5% in May after a 0.6% decline in April. – Financial Post

Sunday, July 19, 2009

High Gas Prices and the Global Economic Crisis

A Year Later, Pain of $4 Gas Lingers

By BEN ROONEY, CNNMoney.com

NEW YORK (July 17) -- It's been one year since drivers across America were stuck paying the highest gas prices on record, and the memory is not a pleasant one for consumers. Friday marked the anniversary of $4.114-a-gallon gas. It was the highest national average price ever recorded by motorist group AAA, which has conducted a daily survey of up to 100,000 filling stations since 2003.

The surge took a heavy toll on consumers. Not only did the cost of driving jump, but prices for other consumer staples, such as groceries, also shot up as transportation costs increased. In response, consumers drastically cut back on driving and many switched to more fuel-efficient cars.

That led to huge financial losses for automakers. Earlier this year, General Motors and Chrysler, two companies that specialize in full-size automobiles, both declared bankruptcy. Now, the national average stands at $2.481 a gallon, down nearly 40% from last year's peak. Gas prices have fallen for 26 days in a row after climbing to $2.693, the highest level of 2009, on June 21.

While prices average $2.50 a gallon or less in 28 states, gas remains above $3 a gallon in both Hawaii and Alaska, where gas taxes are comparatively high. Analysts say gas prices could continue to fall over the next few weeks. But summer is peak driving season -- not to mention hurricane season in the oil-producing Gulf of Mexico -- and it's possible prices could rebound in August.

"We think that $2.50 a gallon is a pretty good number for consumers to budget their fuel expenditures," said AAA spokesman Geoff Sundstrom. Last year, gas prices were driven higher by a an unprecedented rise in the price of crude oil, which is the main ingredient in gasoline. Oil prices settled at a record $145.29 a barrel one day before the price of gas hit its all-time high.

Oil prices plunged in the second half of 2008 as the global economic crisis unfolded. Gas prices followed suit, with the national average price dropping to about $1.60 a gallon in December.
More recently, crude prices have traded in a range near $60 a barrel as demand for oil-based products remains weak.

2009-07-19 09:56:06

Friday, June 5, 2009

Internet Marketing

6 Easy Ways to Make Money Online

Published: 23 Apr 2009 20:57:02 PST

Author: Jon Rognerud

A staggering $2.1 billion in affiliate marketing fees were paid to blog and website owners in 2008. This finding in a recent study by Jupiter Research confirms what many savvy Internet marketers have known for a while: Affiliate marketing has become one of the top business opportunities online because the startup costs are so low and the income you generate can be mind-blowing.

Affiliate marketing involves having your own site and sending your traffic to someone else's site to buy their products or services. For every sale initiated by a link from your site, you earn a percentage--an affiliate sales commission.

Affiliate marketing can be done on a part-time basis, and many are so successful that they've made it their full-time job. Equally exciting, you can get in the game in just a few hours. But how successful you are is based on the amount of time and effort you devote. Here are six tips to get you started:

1. Create a website or blog
To start as an affiliate marketer, you must have a site on which to place links to the products or services you recommend. There are many inexpensive website services such as Hostgator and GoDaddy. It's also easy to set up a free blog through services such as Google's Blogger blog network. I also use Namecheap for domains and Hostnine (get a reseller account) for hosting.

2. Decide your product/service niche
Affiliate marketers help companies and entrepreneurs sell everything from jewelry and cell phones to website services and how-to e-books. Choose an area you're familiar with or one you're enthusiastic about learning. You'll be more likely to do the work and less likely to get bored before the money starts rolling in.

3. Find products and services to promote
Many affiliate networks exist to connect merchants with affiliate site publishers who can help sell their goods. Companies such as:

  • Clickbank, E-junkie and PayDotCom lead the pack in connecting the creators of e-books and software with affiliates to help sell their digital download products.
  • Commission Junction is popular for those who want to sell more traditional wares ranging from travel services to janitorial franchises.
  • Google AdSense, which doesn't require your involvement to result in a sale. Your income is realized on a pay-per-click basis, just for leading your traffic to click to a merchant's site. PPC affiliate programs pay a lot less than programs where your referral must result in a sale. Keep in mind that a site peppered with ads and no authority or trust can look and feel like spam, and you won't get good results.

4. Affiliate site content
There are two main approaches or business models to choose from when setting up an affiliate marketing site:

  • Resource Sites These sites are focused on offering lots of how-to articles and posts, and then provide affiliate links or banner ads to click for more details. Frequently adding fresh related content is vital because it gives people a reason to return to your site--and click some of your money-making links.
  • Review Sites You've tried the products in your niche, now you write them up and rate them to help your site visitors decide what to buy. For each product you review, you provide a link or banner ad that clicks through for sales on your merchant partner's site. Less frequent content updates are necessary--just tweak your site about once a week to let the search engines know your site's still alive, and always try to build links.

5. Affiliate sites must attract lots of targeted traffic to succeed
Most people visiting your website or blog won't click your affiliate links. That's why it's crucial to employ a mix of marketing tactics to increase traffic--highly targeted traffic--to your site.
There are four main ways to get more site exposure and attract more potential customers:

  • Paid Advertising This is most effective when your ad copy headline, call-to-action message and graphics come together just right to compel people to click through and buy.
  • Free Advertising Sites like Craigslist and US Free Ads are but two of many popular places that accept links and banner ads for free. These tend to be affiliate marketing sites themselves, earning the owner money whenever you click their ads.
  • Article Marketing This popular marketing method offers several benefits. You're building credibility as a reliable source in your niche, gaining a higher search engine ranking by increasing the number of links leading to your site, and pulling traffic to your site. Work in an organic manner and don't spam using software engines. Ezinearticles is a great place to begin.
  • E-mail Marketing Every visitor to your site is valuable, so capturing their names and e-mail addresses to stay in touch is important. Many people might not buy your affiliate products until the third or fourth time they hear from you. So it's crucial to place an opt-in subscription box on your site for people to start receiving a weekly or monthly newsletter from you. My personal favorite is aweber, but many quality ones exist.

6. Learn the ropes in forums
These are online communities of likeminded people who exchange insights and ideas. Join at least one of these free affiliate marketing forums to benefit from advice shared by other newbies, intermediates and gurus alike:

  • Digital Point Huge, with about 25,000 active members. An excellent place to learn affiliate marketing tips, plus other techniques that impact your success such as link building and SEO.
  • aBestWeb One of the largest affiliate marketing forums, with nearly 100 sub-forums. Covers the broadest range of affiliate marketing-specific subjects, with heavy participation by numerous go-getter merchants and serious affiliates.
  • Warrior Forum A killer networking forum for beginners and advanced alike. Set up a profile, start participating, ask questions and promote as well.

To do well, read all you can about the opinions, tool and strategies of both experts and peers. But before you even start, choose a niche about which you're passionate. The more you truly enjoy what you're immersed in, the more likely you are to transform your affiliate marketing and money-making venture into a huge success.

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Loonie hits the 91 cent US level

Loonie defies economic wreckage, but that's a bad thing

Fri May 29, 6:12 PM
By Julian Beltrame, The Canadian Press

OTTAWA - The recession has handed Canada its first double deficit in years but it's what many would consider good news - a suddenly resurgent loonie - that poses the newest economic threat.

The Canadian currency rose almost two cents Friday to soar well past the 91 cent US level for the first time since October, blithely oblivious to the economic wreckage piling up around it.

It's the last thing the Canadian economy needs at this time, say economists, because a strong loonie prices exports out of foreign markets.

"We're always concerned when there are rapid fluctuations in the value of the Canadian dollar and it has been relatively rapid in the past few weeks," said Finance Minister Jim Flaherty in a press conference.

He added that the Bank of Canada is monitoring the situation.

The latest economic news was sour on a number of fronts.

The federal government officially ushered in a new era of multi-year deficits, reporting it was short $3.6 billion in March, and ended the 2008-09 fiscal with the first annual deficit in a dozen years with an estimated $2.2-billion shortfall.

That's just the beginning. Flaherty is now booking a record $50 billion shortfall for this current fiscal year.

As well, the current account deficit - which measures transactions in goods and services with the rest of the world - also ballooned to $9.1-billion in the first quarter of 2009 after years of surpluses, reflecting the collapse of commodity prices and slower trade caused by the recession.

The true picture of just how badly the economy has nosedived will become clearer Monday when Statistics Canada reports on the first quarter gross domestic product.

Economists and the Bank of Canada are convinced the data will show a contraction of more than seven per cent, the worst quarterly retreat since the Great Depression and more than the 5.7 per cent contraction reported in the United States.

Such a serving of poisonous economic data would normally have sent investors running for the bear cave, but instead they sent the loonie skyward and pushed the stock market to a 2009 high on Friday.

The S&P/TSX composite index hit an intraday high of 10,493 and closed at 10,370 on Friday. It's still well short of the alltime high of 15,154 set nearly a year ago but up from the March 6 low of 7,479.

The loonie's strength is one part based on expectations of rising demand for oil and minerals that Canada has in abundance, and two parts the weakness of the American dollar, which makes the Canadian currency and commodities more attractive, say economists.

TD Bank chief economist Don Drummond predicted the loonie will return to parity with the U.S. greenback by the end of the year.

"This is problematic for the Bank of Canada, which wants monetary conditions to be high stimulative," said Avery Shenfeld, chief economist with CIBC World Markets.

"If this currency rally persists, and is not accompanied by an equivalent rally in our export prospects, the bank could step in by selling the Canadian dollar.

"That's a weapon that's been gathering rust, not having been used for many years, and the bank will be reluctant to do that," Shenfeld added.

But it may be the only weapon on hand. In normal times, the central bank would cut interest rates to trim the loonie's wings, but with the policy rate already at the practical low of 0.25 per cent, it can't cut rates further.

In a research paper, economist Dale Orr said the dollar often moves whenever increased global growth drive up demand and the price of crude oil, and other commodities that Canada exports.

But he said the loonie's current flight is more a case of the U.S. currency's fall, caused by prospects of a global turnaround and investors no longer seeing America as a safe haven in a sea of troubles.

The world is also factoring in the fact that as bad as the situation is in Canada, it's worse elsewhere - the best of a bad lot syndrome.

Canada's projected $50 billion deficit for 2009-10 represents 3.3 per cent of the size of the economy, compared to the U.S.'s 1.75 trillion shortfall, which is near 13 per cent of its economy.

"These numbers are fairly large, but in comparison basis not as bad as others," explained Paul Ferley of RBC Economics.

"The other thing is the starting point in our fiscal position is better than most other G7 countries, so that puts us in a better position to withstand the bad news."

The $9.1 billion current account deficit set a nominal record, but as a percentage of gross domestic product it was well less than half the 5.1 per cent recorded in the first quarter of 1975.

Economists said Canadians should expect the current account - the measure of what Canada spends and earns - to remain in negative territory for most of the year.

As for the government books, most now say it will take six years to get out of the hole, although the finance minister is sticking to a four-year horizon.

Friday's release of the fiscal monitor will go down as an historical curiosity pinpointing the moment Ottawa officially dipped from a surplus into a deficit position.

That occurred in March, when revenues, particularly from business taxes, literally hit the wall.

The government said corporate income tax receipts were down $2.1 billion, or 46.8 per cent, from the same month last year as firms began claiming refunds for having overestimated their profits. As well, revenues from personal income taxes declined by $1.3 billion, or 12.4 per cent.

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Improving the sourcing process

4 Sourcing Strategies During a Downturn

By Jorina Fontelera

The global recession has added pressure on procurement departments to perform with fewer resources. Consider these four tactics to survive the economic slump.

As companies face one of the toughest markets in years, chief procurement officers (CPOs) are now under more pressure to keep costs low and accomplish more with fewer resources. A recent survey by Accenture found that 59 percent of CPOs questioned felt they were under greater pressure to perform and the same percentage reported an increase in their savings targets.

Due to new priorities, 73 percent were focusing more on suppliers and 64 percent were getting involved in new areas and projects within the company, the report notes. At the same time, 41 percent had their teams reduced, with 5 percent seeing a downsize of 15 percent or more.

To help CPOs cope with the challenges caused by the recession, CPO Agenda presents these key strategies for doing more with less.

Prioritize Workloads/Increase Staff Productivity
For many CPOs who now have to work with a smaller staff, it is important to allocate work appropriately between team members and ensure they are working productively. Jim Nelles, a former procurement head and current partner at Roland Berger Strategy Consultants, tells CPO Agenda that CPOs must use team resources as effectively as possible and understand where finite resources will bring the best results for the business as a whole.

He cites an example of one person looking after a budget of several billion dollars because it's with only one or two suppliers with few specifications, rather than someone looking after a budget of merely $100 million but dealing with 50 different suppliers on multiple continents. Although dealing with less monetarily, it is more important to shift more resources to the latter to deal with the volume of work.

CPO Agenda also advises CPOs to cut down on redundant activities and restructure the procurement team if necessary. Dan Morrissey, director of global procurement at Abbott Nutrition, told CPO Agenda that he hopes to overcome this issue by automating some operational tasks to remove junior positions and reinvest the savings into more experienced staff.

Maximize Technology
Accenture's research also found that 46 percent of CPOs saw a decrease in their technology budgets this year. As such, many will have to make do with less and must squeeze more value out of their current systems, CPO Agenda says. To do so, sourcing experts told George Colony, CEO of Forrester Research, on The Counterintuitive CEO blog, that CPOs should consider cutting maintenance contracts on mature or non-critical software to lower costs. They also advised to "stop constant, unnecessary updates" and "cancel or re-negotiate perpetual licenses." Lastly, make use of blogs or other social technologies to create vendor management transparency.

CPOs should also look at their e-procurement systems for opportunities to get more value. One company found the use of e-auctions to be particularly productive, CPO Agenda reports. In 2008, the company was able to put on 8,000 to 9,000 e-sourcing events in more than 50 countries.

Oracle suggests eliminating paper invoices and switching to electronic files to more easily reap early-payment discounts, as these can total 2 percent or more of the purchase price. Use Web-based supplier self-service portals to provide electronic ordering, shipping and invoicing, Oracle says. Having the "right mix of strategic sourcing technologies and policies" makes online negotiations faster and more effective, with savings ranging from 5 percent to 50 percent.

Stop Maverick Buying and Reassess Spend Priorities
E-procurement systems and purchasing cards can help cut down on maverick buying, CPO Agenda says, by having the procurement team follow certain processes and cutting unnecessary expenses. Adding a self-service electronic requisition tool can help reduce unnecessary and off-contract buying as well, Oracle adds.

Now is also the time to cut weak, superfluous vendors, The Counterintuitive CEO blog says. Companies should also mandate the sourcing strategy and make it stick. Part of this involves reassessing the company's spending priorities. Supply Excellence says that now is "a great time to source labor dependent services" and that this is "the best sourcing market we have seen in years."

Supply Excellence notes that for direct materials, companies should consider restructuring contracts, implementing price adjustment clauses and accelerating their sourcing/re-sourcing efforts. For logistics, CPOs should take advantage of the availability capacity in the market and lock in competitive rates. For indirect spend, aggressively source all categories including non-traditional spend areas, Supply Excellence says. "Unlike some direct materials categories that may require specific approval processes, many of these savings can be implemented immediately."

Improving the buying strategy can reduce costs by 5 percent, which can result in a 50 percent profit improvement, the Sourcing Innovation blog adds.

Outsource Non-critical Activities
Diminished resources and the need to focus on core expenditures has CPOs, particularly in manufacturing, looking at outsourcing indirect procurement, CPO Agenda says. "They might not outsource the whole source-to-pay process but they are looking for managed service providers to wrap more services into their portfolio," Accenture told CPO Agenda.

According to U.S. group purchasing organization Corporate United, the recession has been partly responsible for its 20 percent growth in 2008. Having an organization negotiate contract discounts with selected suppliers "gives companies the confidence that they're achieving savings while being able to redirect whatever limited resources they have," Corporate United Vice President David Clevenger said.

While there are plenty of difficulties during a recession, there are also opportunities for streamlining and improving the sourcing process as mentioned above. How is your company's procurement team handling these difficult times? Share your best practices tips in the comments section.

Friday, May 15, 2009

This Indicator Holds the Key for Investors
By Tom Dyson

To predict the stock market, I watch lumber...

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Because lumber loses its value quickly and it's expensive to store, the investment public at large does not participate in the lumber market. The costs are too high...

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The mills use "just-in-time" manufacturing principles to keep inventories to the bare minimum. By producing only what they can sell immediately, they avoid wastage. Lumber customers do the same thing. They only buy what they need that week.

There is a lumber exchange in Chicago where you can trade lumber futures. It's a "professionals only" industrial matchmaking service. If you're a homebuilder and you need lumber for a current construction project, the lumber exchange works fine for you. But if you're an investor looking to hold lumber for a year or more, you'll get ripped off.

First, you'll pay huge storage costs. The market builds these costs into the futures price. Second, there's almost zero trading volume once you get beyond the next three months, so you'll pay a massive premium for illiquidity.
For example, right now, if you want to buy lumber into the future – say a contract that expires one year from now – you'll have to pay a 38% premium over the price of lumber delivered next week.

These costs keep the riff-raff out of the market. This is why I love to watch lumber. The price of lumber is set entirely by commercial money responding to real business conditions. There's no public speculation to muddy the water and generate confusing signals.

Take the 2008 credit crisis as an example. The lumber price was the first to signal a bear market was coming. It peaked in May 2004. The Bloomberg Homebuilders Index peaked in July 2005. The Case-Shiller U.S. home price index peaked in July 2006. The credit crunch started in February 2007, when New Century Financial collapsed. And finally, the S&P 500 peaked in October 2007.

Here's a chart of lumber going back three years. As you can see, lumber bounced like everything else earlier this year, but has not been able to hold its gains.

Lumber has given back its gains... will the stock market follow?

Related Articles
This Indicator Says Home Prices Are Nearing a Bottom
The World's Most Important Commodity
I take this as a message from the homebuilders and the giant logging companies that the real estate market is getting worse again. And if that's the case, it might be time for stocks to take a breather, too...

Monday, April 27, 2009

Supply Chain Management

The Evolving Supply Chain Manager

Managing today's complex supply chain requires the skills of a C-level executive, plus the special knowledge of supply chain disciplines including forecasting, purchasing, transportation, inventory management, quality, warehousing, channel costing, and technology.

Fifty years ago, nobody managed a supply chain. Departments and individuals teamed up to obtain supply certainty and efficiency. But conflicting departmental and individual goals, poor communication, obsolete accounting practices, and other issues frequently impeded success.

Companies began to recognize these problems and gravitate toward organization realignment, forming materials management departments in which purchasing and marketing often played a peripheral role. The principal stakeholders often dictated the specific capabilities, services, and performance standards that suppliers must meet. The purchasing representative then assumed responsibility for finding suitable sources.

In the 1980s, a range of factors virtually eliminated strong internal supply management capabilities. Cost pressures, new technologies, a focus on core competencies, the trend toward downsizing and outsourcing, the desire to consolidate sources, and the marginalization of supply disciplines were among the elements that gave rise to a whole new segment: the third-party logistics provider. The purchasing officer often contracted these services, while a logistics coordinator oversaw them, relying heavily on the IT and finance managers who drove the new systems.

COMPLICATIONS ARISE

Concurrently, many savvy supply chain practitioners recognized that the impact of newly adopted practices such as just-in-time, lean manufacturing, Six Sigma expectations, and ISO standards, as well as the availability of new technologies, required that enhanced supply chain management skills and practices be developed and retained in-house.

As organizations were pursuing these diverse approaches, two new demands on supplier sourcing were converging: the need to identify and relate to possible global suppliers, and the need to ensure that identified suppliers could adapt to new technologies and to doing business in global markets.

Some organizations that had been stripped of the core skills necessary to manage a supply chain turned to their purchasing officers, or to their IT or finance managers -- the only remaining institutional bases of operating knowledge -- to supervise the supply chain.

THE NEW RULING CLASS

Organizations that recognized these evolving, subtle changes began rebuilding the expertise necessary to truly manage the increasingly diverse and remote base of suppliers and partners. They shored up the hard skills such as inventory and transportation management, quality control, and warehousing, and taught the soft management skills of team building, cultural understanding, and currency economics.

Today, new CEO/COO-qualified supply management executives, charged with entrepreneurial responsibilities and energized with a cadre of imaginative and creative functional managers and specialists, lead organizations poised to harness a continuous stream of opportunities. These are the men and women who will usher supply chain management into its next renaissance.

Friday, April 24, 2009

Entrepreneurship

Tapping into your "inner" entrepreneur


Tapping into your "inner" entrepreneur"Could I do it on my own out there?" is a question that many of us have asked ourselves in the course of our careers.

The answer to that question may be tied to whether or not we have a specific set of aptitudes and motivators that make us potential entrepreneurs, says Yvon Gasse, Professor and Director of the SME and Entrepreneurship Centre at Laval University. Gasse collaborated with BDC to develop the Entrepreneurial Self-Assessment Tool which helps people better measure their entrepreneurial potential.

"Although many factors come into play such as your personal circumstances and timing, research does show that business owners often share certain qualities that make up the entrepreneurial mindset," he emphasizes.

Key motivators
For example, Gasse points to 3 "motivating factors", among others, that attract people to the idea of becoming entrepreneurs in the first place.

1. Need for achievement
"The notion of challenge is an important one for entrepreneurs. They often have a strong need to set objectives and achieve specific goals. They will naturally take measures to meet these goals and will want rapid feedback on their achievements," he believes.

2. Need to influence
"Often entrepreneurial types want to influence people and the course of events. Making money may be one motivator but ultimately entrepreneurs want to make an impact on people through their businesses. They may also want to shape the course of events by, for example, buying another company or moving their business to China."

3. Autonomy
"Another motivator at the root of entrepreneurship is the desire to be independent," says Gasse. "You want to be your own boss and feel in control of your destiny. Independence is a strong driver for people who want to set up their own businesses and pursue their dreams."

Some key aptitudes that shape entrepreneurs
Along with these motivating factors, Gasse contends that entrepreneurs also have specific aptitudes that make them more likely candidates to set up their own businesses.
Among these are:

i. Perseverance
"Business owners are usually determined to get past obstacles and see a project through its completion despite setbacks. They will overcome their frustrations and problems and persevere," says Gasse. "Given the challenges of today's complex business environment, this aptitude is at the top of the list."

ii. Self-assurance
"Entrepreneurs show self-confidence and trust their instincts. This self-assurance helps them through difficult times and pushes them to achieve tough goals," he says. Without that self-assurance, people hesitate and aren't so willing to take calculated risks, he adds.

iii. Creativity
Another aptitude that Gasse emphasizes is creativity. "This is particularly true when it comes to the ability of an entrepreneur to creatively identify business opportunities. Entrepreneurs instinctively see gaps in the market and can find unique products and services that meet a demand," he emphasizes.

iv. Tolerance for ambiguity
"Entrepreneurs are comfortable with ambiguity, and capable of making decisions even when they don't have all the information they need. For example, you might be selling products or services in a relatively unknown market. This level of uncertainty can be very stressful for most people but entrepreneurs learn how to work around it," he believes.

v. Attitude toward failure
"Many business owners have a long history of failures and accept these as part of the learning experience," says Gasse. "Rather than view failure as a catastrophe, an entrepreneur will learn from his or her mistakes and what to avoid the next time around. They'll pick themselves up after a failure and start over."

vi. Action-oriented
"Entrepreneurs don't rest on their laurels and are driven to accomplish their objectives through concrete action," adds Gasse. "They want to get down to work and won't put off difficult tasks until later. That strong desire to tackle their objectives and see quick results often characterizes people who want to run their own companies."

Before you get going
If you see that you have the necessary motivators and aptitudes to become an entrepreneur, Gasse recommends that you first get a clear business plan in place. "It's important to not think of your business plan as simply a way to attract financing. It's much broader than that. Ideally, a business plan is a real roadmap that shows where you are going with your company. It should demonstrate that you've done your homework, understand your market and that you can actually generate business. Once you have that plan in place, you can move more confidently ahead."

* * * * *

Thinking of starting a business? BDC Consulting has a national network of management consultants that can help your business move forward confidently. From in-depth business planning to management coaching, BDC's experienced business advisor may be one of your best investments. Contact us today.

For more information see:
Start a business

Saturday, April 18, 2009

'We can't pay and we won't pay'

Pirate Bay co-founder to Swedish court: 'We can't pay and we won't pay'


The men linked to the Pirate Bay file-sharing site were defiant on Friday after a Swedish court found them guilty of breaking the country's copyright law.


CBC News

The Stockholm district court sentenced Gottfrid Svartholm Warg, Peter Sunde, Fredrik Neij and Carl Lundstrom to one year each in prison for "assisting making available copyrighted content."

They were also ordered to pay damages of 30 million kronor ($4.3 million Cdn) to a number of entertainment companies, including Warner Bros., Sony Music Entertainment, EMI and Columbia Pictures.

But the group said any verdict would be appealed, and the website home page carried a message equally defiant:

"As in all good movies, the heroes lose in the beginning but have an epic victory in the end anyhow," said a message posted to the site. "That's the only thing Hollywood ever taught us."

Peter Sunde, one of the four founders of the site, said in a video posted Friday the court's ruling was "bizarre."

"It's so bizarre we just have to laugh about it, it's unreal," he said.

As for the damages awarded, Sunde said the number was meaningless.

"They could have gotten one billion," he said. "We can't pay and we won't pay."

Hollywood welcomes decision

The Pirate Bay website connects BitTorrent networks to allow users to swap music, video or game files, but the site's founders had argued they were not responsible for the files they directed users toward, since they themselves did not host any of the files.

However, the court found the defendants guilty of aiding in the committing of copyright offences "by providing a website with - sophisticated search functions, simple download and storage capabilities, and through the tracker linked to the website."

The Motion Picture Association of America chairman and CEO Dan Glickman said his organization welcomed the decision.

"This is an important decision for rights-holders, underlining their right to have their creative works protected against illegal exploitation and to be fairly rewarded for their endeavours," Glickman said in a statement.

Michael Masnick, who runs the influential technology blog Techdirt and is a frequent critic of the recording industry's methods of dealing with alternative forms of content distribution, said in a blog post Friday the decision raises questions about the culpability of providers of online search tools.

"The idea that a toolmaker can be liable for the actions of its users should trouble everyone - especially when the tools have plenty of legitimate uses as well," he wrote.

As copyright law is carried out domestically, the decision isn't likely to have an effect on other countries, nor is it likely to discourage file-sharing, said University of Ottawa professor Michael Geist in a blog post Friday.

But he said the decision could be used to encourage internet service providers and search engines "to play more active roles in policing their networks."

With files from The Associated Press

Friday, April 17, 2009

RBC Reports First-Quarter Profit

Canada's RBC takes $850-million hit


NEW YORK (Reuters) - Royal Bank of Canada , Canada's largest bank, said it will take a charge of roughly $850 million (C$1.03 billion) because the value of its international businesses has declined, reducing second-quarter earnings by an equivalent amount.

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Royal Bank of Canada , Canada's largest bank, said it will take a charge of roughly $850 million (C$1.03 billion) because the value of its international businesses has declined, reducing second-quarter earnings by an equivalent amount.

The Toronto-based bank said the charge covers a write-down of goodwill, which "reflects the impact of prolonged challenging economic conditions." It said the charge in particular reflects declines in the U.S. economy, the U.S. housing market and the market value of U.S. banks.

Analysts on average had expected second-quarter profit of 85 Canadian cents per share, according to Reuters Estimates.

A bank spokeswoman stressed that the charge was an accounting adjustment only.

"It does not affect our cash earnings, our capital ratios, our business operations, or our ability to pay dividends," Jackie Braden said in an email message.

The charge is roughly equal to RBC's reported first-quarter profit of C$1.05 billion, or 73 Canadian cents per share.

Since the global credit crisis began, and especially since last summer, a variety of lenders have taken large goodwill write-downs because reduced economic and business activity have lowered the value of some of their units.

Goodwill typically arises in acquisitions and represents the value of such intangibles as reputation and brand-name recognition.

RBC said its fiscal second-quarter ends on April 30, and that it plans to release results for the February-to-April period on May 29. It said the $850 million charge is a non-cash item that will not affect its operations.

Shares of RBC closed Thursday up C$1.22 at C$42.35 in Toronto. The bank announced the charge after markets closed.

($1 = C$1.21)

(Reporting by Jonathan Stempel; Editing by Steve Orlofsky)

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Small Business Internship Program

What is Industry Canada's Small Business Internship Program?

The Small Business Internship Program provides small and medium-sized businesses financial support to hire a post secondary student intern to assist them in their adoption of information and communications technologies to increase their productivity and competitiveness.

Industry Canada's Small Business Internship Program is a collaborative effort with Canadian small businesses, post-secondary institutions, and non-government organizations that offer promising post-secondary students hands-on experience working on e-commerce projects under the mentorship and coaching of entrepreneurs. Student interns will gain an appreciation of entrepreneurship, and an opportunity to explore career possibilities.

How does the Small Business Internship Program work?

Small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs) submit an application to the organization delivering the program in their area. If their application is approved, they can hire a student intern to help them take advantage of information and communications technologies (ICT) to help grow their business. SMEs will have the flexibility to hire the interns that possess the skills and abilities for their specific project or needs. We encourage them to hire from employment equity groups.

The SME negotiates the salary of the intern, and the benefits they may receive. Once the 12-week internship is over, the Government of Canada will reimburse 75 percent of their eligible costs, up to a total of $10,000. The SME gets the information and communications technologies help they need to grow their business, and the student gets valuable on-the-job experience.

What are the eligible costs?

Eligible costs that can be claimed by participating SMEs are the student interns’ wages and related expenses such as statutory employee benefits.

How does the Small Business Internship Program address the ICT needs of SMEs?

A significant number of SMEs are currently simply connected to the Internet or are passively on-line, and might not be taking advantage of the possibilities offered by e-business. The Small Business Internship Program seeks to improve the competitiveness of SMEs by supporting businesses to actively market on-line and improve their competitiveness with e-business practices and technologies.

Monday, April 6, 2009

Sun Microsystems Rejects IBM Offer

Sun shares plummet after IBM talks collapse

A Sun Microsystems sign is pictured at the company's headquarters in Santa Clara, California March 18, 2009. REUTERS/Robert Galbraith
REUTERS
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares of Sun Microsystems Inc tumbled 23 percent on Monday after the company rejected rival computer and software maker International Business Machines Corp's $7 billion offer.

Sun shares fell to $6.52 in early morning trading after Sun pulled the plug on the deal which might have spelled the end of an era for a networking company that was once synonymous with the Internet.

The buyout was seen as a means for survival for the once-storied Silicon Valley company, which has been losing market share.

Sun was unhappy with IBM's offer of $9.40 per share or below, and it was unclear if talks would resume, according to a source, who was not authorized to speak publicly about the matter. The bid represented a premium of up to 89 percent on Sun's shares before deal talks were first reported last month.

Sun shares had risen to $8.49 on Friday, from $4.97 on March 17, a day before talks between the two technology companies were first reported. The Wall Street Journal had previously said IBM's original bid was $10 to $11 a share.

The deal may have helped IBM bolster its offering of computer servers, storage equipment and software as competition heats up with rivals like Hewlett-Packard Co.

Sun rose to prominence selling high-end computer servers in the 1990s but never fully recovered from the dot-com bubble burst earlier this decade. Analysts also say it failed to fully capitalize on its software assets including Solaris and Java.

Failed talks with IBM could mean that Sun will need to find another buyer, and contend with a lower offer. But no bidder other than IBM has emerged in the months that Sun has been shopping itself.

(Reporting by Franklin Paul)

Friday, March 27, 2009

Chicago home to the 3rd.- largest Hispanic population in the US

Chicago's Hispanic market untapped

Canada Export---March 23, 2009

As Canadian companies look for ways to bring their products and services to the Chicago market, they may want to consider the rapidly rising Hispanic demographic.

While the Hispanic community is vibrant all across the U.S., Canadian companies looking closer to home may want to consider the Chicago area which boasts the third-largest Hispanic population in the U.S. This group accounts for 26% of the population in the Chicago area, and their numbers continue to climb.

Named the fastest-growing group in America by the U.S. Census Bureau, the Hispanic population grew more than 61% between 1990 and 2003. According to Canadian trade commissioners, this demographic holds great potential as consumers of Canadian products and services but it remains largely untapped.

“The Chicago Hispanic market is young, conscious of changing trends, has a higher than average disposable income and holds a buying power of over $11 billion per year in Chicago and $19 billion in Illinois,” says Ann F. Rosen, Trade Commissioner at the Canadian Consulate General in Chicago. “For Canadian companies looking to expand into the Midwest U.S. market, this is a group that cannot be ignored. To be competitive, Canadian companies must learn about how to reach this booming section of the market.”

According to the Association of Hispanic Advertising Agencies, most American companies only allot an average of 2.4% of their advertising resources to targeting the Hispanic market. They also point out that a minimum 8% allotment is necessary to effectively begin to reach the market. This leaves the field wide open to opportunities for Canadian companies.

“Companies looking to enter this market must be aware of its cultural differences, the varying levels of acculturation to American customs, the nuances of language as seen through Hispanic eyes and the impact of packaging,” says Rosen.

For the Canadian company this might mean packaging products with a knowledge of what styles, fonts and colours appeal most to this market. Companies might need to carefully consider wording their packaging to reach out to this specific consumer who may have different needs, values and desires than other consumers. Also, the use of both English and Spanish on all materials is another key tool.

However, the research cannot stop there. In fact, this is where the Canadian Trade Commissioner Service can assist. Trade commissioners can help companies go beyond a superficial approach to targeting this market and move towards an educated, culturally relevant method of promoting their products.

“By discovering the personality and pulse point of this expanding market—which we know well—Canadian companies can find ways to make their products more appealing to this group and, in turn, secure a firm position in Chicago's Hispanic market,” says Rosen.

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Networking through the social media...

Putting a new spin on networking

Whether you offer professional services, specialized products aimed at other businesses or consumer goods, social media can give you great visibility.

Social media is the term used for communities of people interacting through a website, by posting comments, pictures, videos or audio. Integrating social media into your marketing strategy can help keep you in touch with current and potential customers, with suppliers, colleagues and other stakeholders.

5 tips for effective use of social media

1. Set clear goals and processes
The world of social media sites is broad and complex, and creating a presence using these sites can be very time-consuming. Your new online activities should complement your marketing strategy so that you make the best possible use of your time. If your main goal is finding new clients, you may wish to focus on creating a presence on social or business networking sites and in microcommunities that may be frequented by your customers.

For example, if you sell canoes, you may want to participate regularly in a camping micro-community site. However, if your focus is on building customer loyalty, you may want to think about adding a blog to your website, where you offer tips and recommendations to your existing customers, and where users can discuss your products and their uses.

2. Focus on quality over quantity
Social media sites are designed to create a community. It is more important to participate fully and sincerely in a few sites than to spread yourself too thin. By building a strong presence, you will create respect for you and your company.

3. Think give, not take
Don't focus on pushing your products or services. In fact, some sites (such as Flickr) specifically prohibit commercial use. Rather, think about what you can give the community. Share comments, information and content that are relevant and useful for all users. If you market yourself as an expert and the content is relevant, others will keep coming back.

4. Put your best foot forward
In the online world, like in the real world, it pays to be polite, pleasant and honest.

5. Be linkable
Link to other sites, and make it easy for others to link to your site. If you have a blog, make sure you register it with the main blog search sites. Advise your readers of content updates by offering RSS feeds (a file that automatically publishes frequently updated content, such as blog entries, to let users keep up with new posts).

An overview of social media
Social media sites create interactive communities. The focus of these sites ranges from socializing, business networking, sharing information or other resources, and collaborating on shared projects.


Social networking
Sites such as Facebook, Twitter and MySpace are designed for personal networking. These sites let you create a personal profile page, and their focus is on helping you keep in touch with the people you know. Some sites let you upload photos and videos, post news and other links, and update your status from your cell phones.

Business networking
These networking sites are designed with professionals in mind. They allow you to

  • make connections with people you know and make new contacts
  • gain visibility
  • discuss issues, such as investment techniques, with other professionals
  • post jobs and hire personnel
  • find business advice

Examples of this type of site include LinkedIn, Ryze, FastPitch, and Naymz. There are also sites that are specially tailored for small businesses, such as My Cubicle Space.

Sharing information and multimedia content
These sites offer a forum where users can post content that can be viewed, commented on, marked as a favourite, or linked to, by people around the world.

Information

1. Blogs
Blogs are websites that are updated regularly with posts by one or several users. The entries can include general comments or journal entries or information on a particular subject, or multimedia material like links, photos, videos, and audio files. Also, readers generally have space to comment and discuss postings with other viewers.

There are also search sites that collect information from blogs and other sites, ranking them by subject and popularity. These include Technocrati and Newsvine. The sites allow users to search for content by keyword. Bloggers can register with these sites to increase their visibility.

2. Microcommunities
Sites created for groups of people linked by a common interest, ex. wine, yoga, gardening, traveling and shoes. These microcommunities often feature product reviews, recommendations, and discussion boards. They offer a unique way to tap into the preferences of their clientele, and to participate in discussions with the client group.

Collaboration
These sites bring together people working on a common project, such as a wiki (a collaborative website designed to let users contribute or edit content, ex. Wikipedia), open-source software (where participants work together via the web to create computer programs), or other collaborative projects focusing on specific areas, such as the arts.

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Good personal selling helps small retailers !

Good personal selling is a viable means to create a competitive edge, especially for small retailers. To learn more, check this out:

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Good creative selling can provide the competitive edge.

Understanding and Developing Your Sales Force

An important ingredient in the successful retail or service business is good selling. Without it, many sales are lost sales that may mean the difference between success and failure. This publication tells how you can train yourself and your employees to become creative sales people.

Summary

To many customers, the salesperson is the business. Therefore, if the sales personnel are bad, then so is the firm. Although important to all business, effective sales personnel are especially important to small business to compete with the big firms on things like assortment, price, and promotion. Selling effort, on the other hand, is one place where the small product or service retail business can compete with larger competitors and win.

Effective selling does not happen by accident. The small entrepreneur must work to achieve a high level of sales effectiveness in his or her business. In order to work toward this goal, the businessperson should be aware of the different types of salespersons, the selling process, and the attributes of effective salespersons. Applying such knowledge to a business situation should result in the desired goal of effective sales personnel the competitive advantage.

Types of Salespersons

There are three main types of sales personnel: (Classified by Level of Creative Effort)

Routine Effort _____________________________________________Creative Effort

Order-Handler Order-Taker Order-Getter

Figure 1. Types of Retail Sales Personnel

Order-Handler
The ticket-taker at the concert, the checker at the food store—these salespeople are working in a routine selling environment. But due to the nature of their jobs, they will be asked numerous questions by customers as well as hear complaints about prices and service. A knowledgeable person with a pleasant personality is especially needed for this job because this is usually the person who is dealing with the customer when the customer's money (payment) is received.

Order-Taker
As noted above, more creativity is found in this job as compared to the order-handler. The counter attendant at the fast food restaurant may take the order and then suggest that the customer might also wish to buy a hot apple turnover. Pleasant personality, fast service, and suggestion selling on the part of the order-taker can result in many additional sales.

Order-Getter
For many businesses, the heart of the selling process rests with the creative selling efforts of their salespeople. Of course, one of the greatest problems is that there are numerous order-handlers and order-takers in selling positions that should have order-getters for optimum selling effectiveness. Clothing, furniture, jewellery and appliances are just some of the many items that call for order-getters (a person who can handle a transaction, take an order, and most importantly, get an order). As for services, the home security salesperson, for example, who calls on a prospect because it is observed that the house has no dead bolt locks, is making that special effort to be an order-getter.

Even though all selling situations do not call for order-getters, all salespeople will be called upon to sell creatively from time to time. It is for this reason that all sales personnel need to have a working knowledge of the creative selling process.

Creative Selling Process

The creative selling process consists of eight steps, none of which is less important than any other if the process is to be effective. It should be emphasized to all employees that all steps are vital to the achievement of all effective selling.

Pre-Customer Contact
A smart builder would not attempt to build a house without a good foundation. Likewise, a businessperson should not place people on the sales floor or telephone until these people know the business, merchandise, services and customers. Before any contact is made with the customer, every salesperson should know:

Policies, Procedures, and Rules. Have these in writing for all employees to see and know.

Operation of Equipment
No matter whether the register is electronic or mechanical, the time to learn how to work it is not after a sale while the customer waits for change.

Target Market Knowledge
The best salesperson knows something of the likes and dislikes of the firm's primary customers. The business operator should tell all sales personnel about the business' customers and their life-styles. Tell the salespeople about customer's interests and ability to buy.

Product Knowledge
A salesperson gains confidence by knowing about the products and services he or she is selling. If a person sells shoes, it helps to know the merchandise as well as how to fit them. If a person sells building materials, the selling job is probably more effective if the salesperson can also help answer questions about home repairs.

It helps the person who sells clothes to know something about fabrics and current fashions. If the person is in the lawn service business, that person should know about lawn care. Most sales personnel will not take the initiative to acquire product knowledge. Management should make such knowledge available to them.

Prospecting
Although not appropriate to every selling situation, prospecting should be used whenever possible. Essentially, prospecting involves not waiting for the customer to show up at a store or to phone about a service. It is concerned with taking the initiative by going to the customer with a product or service idea. Prospecting may be two types: new or regular customer prospecting.

New Customer Prospecting
A salesperson sees that a person is getting married. Action is taken on this knowledge by contacting the person and telling her about appropriate items (or services) that might be of assistance to a new bride. By using newspapers and personal contacts, a salesperson can take the initiative to contact and create new customers.

Regular Customer Prospecting
A firm's best prospects are its current customers. A salesperson should make a practice of calling regular customers on a periodic basis to tell them about products or services. "Hello, Mrs. Anderson, I just wanted to tell you about the new shipment of dresses that we received today. As I unpacked them, I saw several that made me think of you". Prospecting with regular customers works! All salespeople should be encouraged to prospect by phone and in-person whenever they see regular customers. A word of caution must be emphasized. Don't go to the well too often. Prospecting with the same regular customer on a frequent basis can make prospecting lose the special feeling that it can create in customers. Do not overuse it.

Initial Contact
The most effective way to close a sale is to open it on a positive note. Unfortunately, most sales do not open this way.

The typical initial store contact begins in this manner:
Clerk: "May I help you?"
Customer: "No thank you, I'm just looking."

This ritual leaves much to be desired. Why? It is an automatic statement that shows no creativity on the part of the salesperson. Also, because the customer has heard the statement many times, his or her response is usually given without thinking what was said. Every salesperson should be challenged to treat each customer as an individual by responding differently to each customer.

Initial contact also means responding to customers when they enter the sales areas even when they cannot be waited on immediately. Salespeople should be instructed to tell waiting customers that "I'll be with you in a moment". Such actions will reduce the number of customers who leave without being served. When the employee is free to help the waiting customer, the initial comment should be "Thank you for waiting". A courteous, creative initial contact with the customer can go a long way to promote sales.

Presentation of Merchandise
In presenting merchandise (or service) to the customer, the salesperson should use product knowledge to the best advantage. How?

Buyer benefits
Although it is good to talk about the lawnmower's 3 1/2 horsepower motor, customers may be more interested in hearing about how fast the lawnmower will cut the grass. Product knowledge is important but the salesperson must remember what makes the customer buy. Clothes may be made of durable fabrics but it is also important to stress the implied benefit.

Customer Involvement
Product knowledge can be used to get customer involvement. Show the customer several features of the digital watch and then have the customer put it on and work it.

If the interest is there, it will be hard for the customer to take off the watch so that the salesperson can put it back into the case. The best way to present many products is to get involvement. Want to sell dance lessons? Get the customer on the dance floor and let the fun of dancing do some of the selling. The same is true with clothes, perfume, sports equipment and almost anything else.

Limit the Choices
If during the sales presentation more than three items are in front of the customers, the chances of a sale are reduced while the possibility of shoplifting is increased. If, for example, the salesperson continues to carry dresses into the fitting room for the customer to try without removing any, the customer will likely not buy any because of the inability to decide from among so many choices. Also, with so many items under study, the clerk may lose track of how many items are in the fitting room. It is possible that some may be put on under the customer's clothes while the clerk is not present, thereby resulting in an expensive experience for the store. Likewise, if a travel agency attempts to sell a customer a Caribbean cruise, the chances of making the sale will diminish if too many trip options are presented. Unless there is a definite reason for an exception, the rule of three (never show more than three choices at one time) should be followed whenever merchandise is presented. Limited choices have been found to promote sales.

Use Showmanship
In presenting merchandise to the customer, encourage all personnel to be creative. Be enthusiastic about the merchandise. Hold the necklace up for the customer to see it. Make the portable baby crib "look" easy to work. Lay the different pieces of the cookware set before the customer in an attractive, easy-to-see everything manner. Ask your salespeople to think like a customer. If I were a customer, what would I like to see?

Message Adaptation
A knowledgeable salesperson should know about the products being sold. Message adaptation involves deciding what information is needed to sell a particular customer and how that information should be presented to that customer. Canned sales presentations do not allow for adaptation. The effective salesperson will make an effort to adjust the presentation to the customer.

If the customer knows about gardens and lawns, the person selling a lawn service should adapt the sales presentation to the level of the customer's expertise. Don't bore the customer with known facts. It could lose a sale.

Handling Objections
Remember, if objections are present, progress is probably being made on the sale. Most salespeople are afraid of objections. Stress to all employees that objections are a natural part of the selling process. They do not mean that the sale is lost. In most cases, all that is required to overcome an objection is more selling on the part of the salesperson.

Common types of customer objections that are faced by a salespersons are:

  • Product: "That dress looks out-of-date";
  • Store: "You never have the right merchandise";
  • Service: "If I believe what I hear, I can't get good service from you";
  • Price: "It is just too expensive";
  • Salesperson: "Are you sure these shoes fit right?"

These and other objections can be met by the salesperson in several ways. Using the above product objection as an example, these methods include: Yes-But: "Yes, it does look out-of-date, but it is the latest." This approach begins on a positive note by agreeing with the customer and then moves on to answer the objection.

Counter-question. "Why do you feel it's out-of-date?" the counter-question puts the ball back in the customer's court. By asking "Why?" the real reason of the objection may become known.

Restate Objection. "You feel that the dress looks out-of-date." By restating the objection, the customer may respond by saying, "No, I mean it just doesn't look right on me", or something of a similar nature.

This approach tends to reduce the magnitude of the objection in the eyes of the customer.

Direct Response. "The dress you have on was first shown at the market this season. It is the latest thing." Although offensive to some, this approach may be necessary if the customer is not going to buy unless the untruth can be corrected. Tact is important when using this approach.

These four approaches for handling objections are not meant to be all-inclusive. These and other approaches do point out, however, that objections should and can be answered by the salesperson unless objections are overcome to the satisfaction of the customer, it is questionable that the sale will be made.

Closing the Sale
In various ways, the salesperson can assist the customer by helping him or her to make the buying decision. Closing techniques that can aid in this effort include:

  • Offer a service. "Let us deliver it to you this afternoon." A "Yes" implies purchase.
  • Give a Choice. "Do you want the five-piece or eight-piece cooking set?" Either choice implies purchase. Note that "No" was not one of the choices.
  • Offer an Incentive. "If you buy now, you get 10% off the already low price." If you wait, you don't get the 10% discount.
  • Better Not Wait. "If you want this refrigerator, better get it now. It's the last one in stock." Note: it pays to be honest. If the customer buys and then comes by the store the next day and sees that the store did have another one, this closing technique may have made the sale but it could lose the customer.

Suggestion Selling
The customer has made a purchase. Now what? Encourage your sales personnel to make a definite suggestion for a possible additional sale. For many businesses, sales can be increased by 25 percent through positive suggestion selling. Please note that statements such as" "Will there by something else?" or "Can I get you something else?" are not suggestion selling. They do not make a positive suggestion. When a customer buys a lamp, what about a light bulb to go in it? If a picture is purchased, what about the necessary hardware to hang it properly? If a suit is bought, what about a new blouse or shirt that goes well with the colour? Where appropriate, the creative salesperson will actually get the suggested item and show it to the customer. Or if a person brings in a watch to be repaired, why not also clean it while it is taken apart? This type of initiative usually results in more sales. It should be emphasized that most customers like to receive a valid suggestion. In some cases, suggestions may even permit the customer to avoid another shopping trip to pick up that needed item that they had not thought about. Good suggestion selling makes sales and builds confidence in the firm's business.

Sales Follow-up
Although not apparent to many salespeople, follow-up is a part of every sale. The closing statement, "Thank you for shopping at (name of store)," is a form of sales follow-up if done with enthusiasm. Unfortunately, just making the statement in an automatic manner is about as effective as the other worn out phrase, "May I help you?" If done correctly, however, it allows the customer to leave on a positive note, thereby increasing the chances of repeat business by the customer.

Follow-up may also concern itself with checking on anything that was promised to the customer after the sale. If delivery is supposed to take place on Friday, the salesperson will check to make sure that the promise will be met and, if not, will notify the customer of the problem. Good sales follow-up will prevent the type of situation that occurs so often when the customer calls on Friday asking, "Where is the delivery truck?" A business with a reputation for sales follow-up is going to obtain additional business because of its concern about the sale.

Sincere sales follow-up is good business. Imagine the impact that can be had on a customer when the carpet cleaning service telephones the customer 48 hours after cleaning her carpets to be sure that everything is satisfactory. Sales follow-up builds goodwill and repeat business.

Attributes of a Creative Salesperson

In addition to having personnel who understand and apply the creative selling process, an organization should try to have salespeople who possess certain attributes that can make them ore effective in their jobs. These attributes, which can be grouped into mental and physical categories, merit further discussions.

Judgement
Common sense, maturity, intelligence—these and other terms are used interchangeably with judgement. A salesperson knows that it does not pay to argue with a customer. The salesperson also knows that the firm should never be "cut" in front of customers. These situations reflect the use of good judgement on the part of the employee. Please note that the term maturity is sometimes used in place of judgement but that it is not necessarily a function of age. Many older people do not use good judgement while some younger employees have a high level of common sense.

Tact
If an employee has a keen sense of what to say and do, many problems can be overcome before they are created. Many employees give little thought to the impact of their actions. A child playing with toys in the toy store is told in a blunt manner to "quit playing with the toys and go find your mother." While all this is going on, the mother is standing behind the salesperson. Was a confrontation with the child necessary? No. Could it have been handled differently? Yes. How does the child and mother feel about the store? The feeling is not good. This salesperson lacked the ability to know what to do and say in order to maintain good customer relations. Be tactful.

Attitude
A good salesperson will have a positive attitude toward customers, merchandise, services, and the business. A good attitude means that an employee is willing to accept suggestions, to learn and to apply the steps in the creative selling process, and to not be afraid of work. A salesperson with a bad attitude can create unnecessary problems. A bad attitude is contagious. If an employee is otherwise competent, management should work with the employee to develop a positive attitude. Positive attitudes can result in sales.

Word of Caution
Mental and physical attributes of salespersons are important. Management must continue to observe sales personnel in regard to the desired traits. Either mental or physical attributes of individuals may change over time relative to desired attributes.

Management must be aware of this possibility and attempt to correct any deviations from desired norms before problems are created.

A business can greatly enhance its probability of success by stressing the creative selling process, giving special attention to the desired mental and physical attributes of a creative salesperson. Good creative selling can provide the competitive edge.

Source: U.S. Small Business Administration
Prepared by: Government of Saskatchewan

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